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This all-Spanish Europa League quarter-final tie should be a keenly-contested affair with both sides evenly matched. Level on points in La Liga, Athletic Bilbao sit a place above Sevilla in sixth thanks to a superior goal difference, with both sides set to battle it out domestically to try and secure European football for next season.
Back in January, Sevilla triumphed 2-0 at the Estadio Sanchez Pizjuan over the Basques, yet at San Mames Athletic have won their last five meetings with the Andalusians and Ernesto Valvderde’s men are unbeaten at home in this season’s Europa League.
William Hill price the hosts at 21/20 (2.05) for the win, while Sevilla – who have won the tournament two seasons running – can be backed at 13/5 (3.60). The draw is a 12/5 (3.40) chance.
Yet before punters rush to take the seemingly generous price on Sevilla, it is worth remembering the extraordinary fact that Unai Emery’s men have not won on the road all season, neither in La Liga nor the Europa League.
Their relative success this term has been down to rock solid home form, although their 17-match winning streak in their own stadium came to an end at the weekend with a 2-1 defeat to Real Sociedad on Sunday evening.
With Athletic strong at home and Sevilla poor on the road, the logical selection is to back the hosts in some way and the price of 10/11 (1.91) for the Basques’ first goal to come in the first half looks appealing.
Sevilla have conceded first-half goals in five of their last seven away games in all competitions, while Athletic have a superb scoring record at home where they can generally be relied upon to find the back of the net. Valverde’s team have netted first half goals in each of their last four games in Bilbao and this looks like a good value way to back the hosts on Thursday evening.